| November
27, 2004
Mobile Music Conference 2004 : Day
1
Day
1 - Today was part one of the Mobile
Music Conference and provided
an excellent cross section of keynote
speeches by major industry executives
as well as several brief industry
spotlights from some innovative
players in the space (i.e. 9Squared,
Nellymoser, Retro Ringtones, Chaoticom,
Sony BMG Music, Upoc Networks.)
The first keynote speaker was Les
Bider, Chairman and CEO, Warner/Chappell
Music, Inc., which is Warner
Music Group’s award-winning
music publishing company that currently
administers more than one million
copyrights. He stated that the mobile
music business is primarily about
‘creativity , technology ,
commerce, and portability’
and that mobile devices will soon
‘lead the music industry to
its recovery.’ The newer mobile
technologies such as ringbacks,
downloading and streaming to the
handset will obviously spur this
growth.
While there are many projections
being given about the industrys
future growth potential, differing
greatly depending on which analyst
you ask , according to Bider , ‘the
current retail value of worldwide
ringtones is currently 3-5 billion.’
Everyone at the event seemed to
agree that this number will be exponentially
better by 2008. Bider also predicted
that sometime soon we are going
to see every handset delivering
the potential to become a retail
outlet - effectively dwarfing the
actual number of physical retail
stores. Bider also sees cellular
phones as eventually becoming ‘virtual
ATMs’ for the company, but
before this can happen - several
industry hurdles need to be overcome
such as:
• The administrative difficulty
of dealing with songs have more
than 1 owner (i.e. multiple copyright
holders)
• The market offers multiple
places to buy ringtones (depending
on which handset you have)
• Different national royalty
rates and collection organizations
• Piracy via grey market ringtone
providers (As fractured as the industry
is with all the individual players,
we all have 1 common enemy which
is the illegitimate market.)
• Enable technology companies
to attract consumers; deliver value
to consumers and artists
Bider admitted that overall competition
for consumers attention is getting
tougher in the mobile space, but
one thing that could help the industry
would be to come up a with a standardized
naming convention. For example,
several members of a later panel
admitted calling ‘ring tones’
various names such as: master tones,
master tracks, sound clips, true
tones, music tones, song tones,
real music tones, pieces of songs,
real tones, etc. This obviously
is confusing many potential customers.
He ended his presentation with some
good news for the music industry,
noting that one result of the Apple
iPod phenomenon is that it has led
to an overall heightened awareness
of music in society - which in the
long run will only help the mobile
music industry. Also mentioned is
an interesting emerging trend, which
is the delivery of hit singles being
released by the record labels to
the cellular market before they
hit radio and the fact that many
insiders feel that the various flavors
of ringtones are becoming the new
single of the future. Stay tuned
for more coverage!
Yesterday afternoon, I had the
pleasure of listening to Larry
Kenswil’s presentation
at the MMC. He is President of Universal
eLabs , which is a division of Vivendi
Universal’s Universal
Music Group. which is the largest
music group in the world. He stressed
that UMG is focused on the business
of selling music and music related
products in as many places as possible.
However, in order to do this, he
said that the actual method of delivery
(i.e. format or transport mechanism)
should not actually dictate the
value of a song because technology
is not the means to an end - it’s
just the means. Obviously, one of
the keys to success is to take a
hard look at consumers and figure
out what they want and then figure
out a very simple way to give it
to them. One of the main challenges
for content providers is that the
carriers basically set the price
on ringtones - leaving low margins
- and over time there will be more
downward pressure to lower the price
which will hopefully lead to more
volume. In addition, there are multiple
players in the value chain each
vying for a piece of the pie.
Mobile music
is the fastest growing area of digital
music in the world and in many instances,
ringtones of hit songs are outselling
downloads, which currently comprise
around 2-3% of UMG’s total
revenues. As a result, some A&R
people at the record labels are
now starting to really pay attention
to ringtone charts to see who’s
hot, especially in specific regions.
Kenswil suggested that the future
of the mobile music industry is
perhaps not about selling by the
bit or minute, but about differentiating
your content and its related offerings.
“It’s the content that
differentiates and sells.”
For pricing, he mentioned the need
for the current business models
to be rationalized in order to maximize
the market and avoid cannibalization.
(i.e. $.99 for 4 minute song vs.
$2.50 for 20 seconds)
One interesting
announcement that Kenswil made was
the fact that Sprint is now awarding
Gold/Platinum Awards for ringtone
sales. Let’s just hope they’re
being rational, unlike the RIAA,
and not also purposefully excluding
legitimate independent artists from
their sales totals.
How can the consumer get better
and faster content? Kenswil said
that the current Digital rights
management technology (i.e. OMA
DRM 2.0) initiatives are key to
the industry’s explosive growth,
but the specs need to quickly be
finished and implemented before
the window of opportunity is missed.
A true global standard would help
to eliminate confusion and enable
the market, but unfortunately there
is no solution yet.
New platforms are a core strategy
for UMG and artist voice tones could
soon become a new cash cow. Also,
pirated ringtones could pose a major
challenge if the average consumer
figures out that they can easily
rip songs from their own CD’s
and load them into their phone from
their PC with a cable. According
to Kenswil, “the ringtone
market won’t be a market if
people keep repurposing like this.”

Todd
Beals is a multimedia producer
and consultant who is currently
the senior digital media analyst
with Creative
Media Services where he publishes
The
Beals Media Update. He will
be guest blogging on location this
week from the Mobile Music Conference
2004 (MMC) being held in South Beach,
Miami, FL from Nov. 18-19 at the
Ritz Carlton. (The opinions expressed
in his blogs are his own and not
necessarily those of Paid Content.org
or MocoNews.net.) You can reach
Todd by e-mailing him at beals…at…bellsouth.net.
Mobile
Music Conference 2004 : Day 2 >>
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